High Sierra Topix

Harlen wrote:
It's more a description of the lack of a snowpack. The Eastern Sierra Avalanche Center is providing reports and forecasts again, and I thought the excerpt below gives a good account of where we are now. Things really looked good there in October, but now we have a very similar situation as we had at the start of last winter. Oh well.

Stronger Storm Potential Next Week:

All eyes are on next week as clustered ensemble analysis show agreement in developing a longwave trough off the west coast with impacts as early as Sunday. This presents a pattern which could yield multiple waves of subtropical moisture pushing inland over a 2-3 day period early next week. As a result, there are viable scenarios for significant amounts of snowfall across the Sierra in addition to prolonged travel disruptions.

Confidence is increasing in the formation of this eastern Pacific trough which will yield a wetter, cooler, and possibly a windier pattern. The main uncertainties are of the typical variety, that being the timing and depth of the trough. The evolution of this system could feature multiple waves of
subtropical or AR moisture which would yield a longer duration precipitation event. That coupled with lower initial snow levels could yield promise for the Sierra picking up accumulations measured in feet vs inches. Snowfall pick ups will also be possible into western Nevada but much lower confidence at this time. Be sure to keep a close eye on the forecast if you have any travel plans by the end of the weekend into the middle of next week.

ULLR BE PRAISED!!