kpeter wrote:oldranger wrote:Kpeter given your restrictions you should have figured out those alternatives on May 1 rather than now. Waiting in the hope of a hot spring kind of screws up your planning. Rather than being hung up on all the details of different years the May 1 snow data should have rang a bell that it was very likely going to be a late season. I know that rlown has been moaning for months that his planned late july trip was not likely going to work.
Of course you are right, Mike, as you usually are. I did have these options in my mind but someone in this thread optimistically pointed out the 2006 example and that gave me hope that things might improve. But I did let family and friends know that we might have to change plans. And now we do.
But the Bishop Pass example shows that my optimism was not completely unjustified. It was data like this that kept my false hopes alive:
The May 1 manual survey of water content at Bishop Pass
The June 8 mechanical water content at Bishop Pass
Final melt out at the mechanical station at Bishop Pass
2006 June 25
1998 July 19
I find looking at this stuff interesting given that I can't be doing what I would really like to do. But I think my posts are getting irritating to some, and since there probably is not much use in continuuing them now that we are getting trail reports in, I'll make this my last entry in this thread. Hopefully next post I will have some real trail information!
I like your posts because I am a data junkie. I also live out of the state and plan at least one big 7-10 day trip to the Sierras every year. I have been going to the Sierras every year since 1980 and I like to see other peoples opinions. The data speaks for itself. Over the past 31 years I have been to the Sierras the top two snow years to me were 1982-1983 and 1994-1995. I think this year will probably be number three to me. I won't know for sure until I go on my trip in August. I have to see the conditions first before I make my final assessment. 'Thanks again for posting those reports. I really enjoyed them.