Early Signs of the Upcoming El Nino | High Sierra Topix  

Early Signs of the Upcoming El Nino

Discussion related to Sierra Nevada current and forecast conditions, as well as general precautions and safety information. Trail conditions, fire/smoke reports, mosquito reports, weather and snow conditions, stream crossing information, and more.
User avatar

Early Signs of the Upcoming El Nino

Postby maverick » Mon Oct 12, 2015 7:44 pm

HST= Wilderness Adventurer who knows no bounds, except for their own imagination.

Have a safer backcountry experience by using the HST ReConn Form 2.0, named after Larry Conn, a HST member: http://reconn.org



User avatar
maverick
Forums Moderator
Forums Moderator
 
Posts: 8050
Joined: Thu Apr 06, 2006 5:54 pm
Experience: Level 4 Explorer

User avatar

Re: Early Signs of the Upcoming El Nino

Postby rlown » Mon Oct 12, 2015 7:48 pm

I'll believe it when I see a raindrop. It was 91 degrees here today in Petaluma.

I do believe that with El Nino, the southland (LA) is going to get slammed.
User avatar
rlown
Topix Junkie
 
Posts: 5358
Joined: Thu Oct 25, 2007 5:00 pm
Location: Petaluma and Wilton, CA
Experience: Level 4 Explorer

User avatar

Re: Early Signs of the Upcoming El Nino

Postby Jimr » Mon Oct 12, 2015 9:17 pm

We're gettin' slammed alright. It's been in the upper 90F for the last couple of days. And I'm only a few miles from the beach. The coolest place in the vicinity.
What?!
User avatar
Jimr
Topix Fanatic
 
Posts: 1145
Joined: Fri Jul 31, 2009 2:14 pm
Location: Redondo Beach
Experience: Level 4 Explorer

User avatar

Re: Early Signs of the Upcoming El Nino

Postby WarrenFork » Mon Oct 12, 2015 9:50 pm

Marmots, which live above the tree line in the High Sierra, have already gone into hibernation near the Sierra crest in Yosemite National Park.

This would be news to the marmots we saw every day last week in upper Hutchings Creek, the Lyell Fork Merced headwaters, and the Florence lakes basin.

Tom Stienstra has been phoning it in since Reagan was in the White House.
User avatar
WarrenFork
Topix Acquainted
 
Posts: 80
Joined: Thu Apr 23, 2015 1:55 pm
Experience: N/A

User avatar

Re: Early Signs of the Upcoming El Nino

Postby Tom_H » Mon Oct 12, 2015 10:06 pm

rlown wrote:I'll believe it when I see a raindrop.


Yea, remember both of the last two winters there was a system out in the Pacific and forecasters were telling everyone to prepare for a '97 like flood. Both times it just floated by with no precip at all.

When he first came to power and before the world realized how wacky he is, Vladimir Putin forced a law through the Duma. Russian weather forecasters had to predict with 95% accuracy or better; failure to do so results in prison. Who knows, we may have someone with a similar style in 13 months.
User avatar
Tom_H
Topix Expert
 
Posts: 457
Joined: Tue Jul 10, 2012 1:11 pm
Location: Wilton, CA
Experience: N/A

User avatar

Re: Early Signs of the Upcoming El Nino

Postby ERIC » Sat Oct 17, 2015 1:18 pm

Image
New members, please consider giving us an intro!
Follow us on Twitter @HighSierraTopix. Use hashtags #SIERRAPHILE #GotSierra? #GotMountains?
Follow us on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/HighSierraTopix
User avatar
ERIC
Your Humble Host & Forums Administrator
Your Humble Host & Forums Administrator
 
Posts: 2910
Joined: Fri Oct 28, 2005 9:13 am
Location: between the 916 and 661
Experience: Level 4 Explorer

User avatar

Re: Early Signs of the Upcoming El Nino

Postby rlown » Sat Oct 17, 2015 1:23 pm

To the South maybe. All the mud you can drink down there.

I've got to be shown some evidence to the North. We need Shasta Lk to fill up fast..

Also makes me want to ask the North to stop sending water to the South.
User avatar
rlown
Topix Junkie
 
Posts: 5358
Joined: Thu Oct 25, 2007 5:00 pm
Location: Petaluma and Wilton, CA
Experience: Level 4 Explorer

User avatar

Re: Early Signs of the Upcoming El Nino

Postby ERIC » Sat Oct 17, 2015 2:12 pm

Don't see your point. It's no secret that El Nino never gives evenly across the state. But that doesn't necessarily mean it's a dud.

Lakes Sonoma and Mendocino look pretty bad, too. Perhaps you should also ask Sonoma County Water Agency to stop sending water South to Petaluma. ;)
New members, please consider giving us an intro!
Follow us on Twitter @HighSierraTopix. Use hashtags #SIERRAPHILE #GotSierra? #GotMountains?
Follow us on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/HighSierraTopix
User avatar
ERIC
Your Humble Host & Forums Administrator
Your Humble Host & Forums Administrator
 
Posts: 2910
Joined: Fri Oct 28, 2005 9:13 am
Location: between the 916 and 661
Experience: Level 4 Explorer

User avatar

Re: Early Signs of the Upcoming El Nino

Postby rlown » Sat Oct 17, 2015 2:14 pm

I'm on a well. Everything right now looks like a dry mudhole.

How much water was actually captured in the last storm, South-wise?
User avatar
rlown
Topix Junkie
 
Posts: 5358
Joined: Thu Oct 25, 2007 5:00 pm
Location: Petaluma and Wilton, CA
Experience: Level 4 Explorer

User avatar

Re: Early Signs of the Upcoming El Nino

Postby ERIC » Sat Oct 17, 2015 2:16 pm

Wells going dry in your area?
New members, please consider giving us an intro!
Follow us on Twitter @HighSierraTopix. Use hashtags #SIERRAPHILE #GotSierra? #GotMountains?
Follow us on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/HighSierraTopix
User avatar
ERIC
Your Humble Host & Forums Administrator
Your Humble Host & Forums Administrator
 
Posts: 2910
Joined: Fri Oct 28, 2005 9:13 am
Location: between the 916 and 661
Experience: Level 4 Explorer

User avatar

Re: Early Signs of the Upcoming El Nino

Postby rlown » Sat Oct 17, 2015 2:18 pm

some have and they go deeper. I don't want to do that. $$$$ They've curtailed those around the Russian river and even fined. I'm not in that drainage.

drizzled today.. sweet.

Shasta is important as it feeds the delta and the fish and evidently Brown's dual 40' pipes to feed water to the South.
User avatar
rlown
Topix Junkie
 
Posts: 5358
Joined: Thu Oct 25, 2007 5:00 pm
Location: Petaluma and Wilton, CA
Experience: Level 4 Explorer

User avatar

Re: Early Signs of the Upcoming El Nino

Postby ERIC » Sat Oct 17, 2015 2:21 pm

rlown wrote:How much water was actually captured in the last storm, South-wise?


Patchy. But Kings River went from 130cfs to over 300 yesterday and is at 250 right now. Still getting a bit more today but almost over I think.

Rough fire is going to make things exciting in the Kings this year. Inflows to the reservoirs could be double to triple what they would have been pre-fire.
New members, please consider giving us an intro!
Follow us on Twitter @HighSierraTopix. Use hashtags #SIERRAPHILE #GotSierra? #GotMountains?
Follow us on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/HighSierraTopix
User avatar
ERIC
Your Humble Host & Forums Administrator
Your Humble Host & Forums Administrator
 
Posts: 2910
Joined: Fri Oct 28, 2005 9:13 am
Location: between the 916 and 661
Experience: Level 4 Explorer

Next

Return to Conditions Reports and Information



Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 7 guests