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Amazing Difference in Snow Pack

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Amazing Difference in Snow Pack

Postby RoguePhotonic » Sun Mar 04, 2012 1:45 pm

Many of you probably monitor web cams like I do to keep track of the snow. I have been amazed on the Mineral King webcams between this year and the last 5 years. Some examples:

March 4th 2007:

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March 4th 2008:

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March 4th 2009:

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March 4th 2010:

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March 4th 2011:

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March 4th 2012:

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Here is last year on May 31st looking more like it does right now:

Image
Last edited by RoguePhotonic on Tue Mar 06, 2012 8:20 pm, edited 1 time in total.



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Re: Amazing Difference in Snow Pack

Postby mokelumnekid » Sun Mar 04, 2012 4:06 pm

Holy smokes Rogue, that is indeed a compelling way to illustrate the situation. Thanks and yikes!
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Re: Amazing Difference in Snow Pack

Postby maverick » Sun Mar 04, 2012 5:58 pm

Yes it's low, but March & April storms can make up for the last few months really quick.
HST= Wilderness Adventurer who knows no bounds, except for their own imagination.

Have a safer backcountry experience by using the HST ReConn Form 2.0, named after Larry Conn, a HST member: http://reconn.org
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Re: Amazing Difference in Snow Pack

Postby quentinc » Mon Mar 05, 2012 9:34 am

There was almost that much snow this past weekend at 6,000 feet in the "Desert Sierra" (the very southern part of the range starting just north of Tehachapi Pass).
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Re: Amazing Difference in Snow Pack

Postby TehipiteTom » Mon Mar 05, 2012 12:11 pm

maverick wrote:Yes it's low, but March & April storms can make up for the last few months really quick.

Can, but probably won't. We're 5 days into March already, and the 5-day forecast is for maybe a dinky storm the next couple days and then clear the rest of the week. At this point, the odds of a 'normal' (or above-normal) snowpack are virtually nill.
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Re: Amazing Difference in Snow Pack

Postby oldranger » Mon Mar 05, 2012 1:01 pm

I agree with TT. Though march april storm can dramatically add snow depth the water content of the snowpack is very unlikely to come close to normal. I'm looking at late May trip to mid 9,000.

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Re: Amazing Difference in Snow Pack

Postby maverick » Mon Mar 05, 2012 1:40 pm

I too do not think it will even reach normal levels, but look back at 2006, it could happen.
Would really like to be able to get out early this year, hit the higher elevations
by early July (maybe earlier), and yes, it makes me selfish, but didn't get out much at
all last year so there is a lot to make up for.
http://www.cnrfc.noaa.gov/storm_summari ... storms.php
HST= Wilderness Adventurer who knows no bounds, except for their own imagination.

Have a safer backcountry experience by using the HST ReConn Form 2.0, named after Larry Conn, a HST member: http://reconn.org
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Amazing Difference in Snow Pack

Postby ScoobyMike » Mon Mar 05, 2012 2:03 pm

Right now we are at 30% snow pack. This takes into account the "normal" March/April precipitation. We had 2 banner years in a row, and 30% is better than 10%
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Re: Amazing Difference in Snow Pack

Postby TehipiteTom » Mon Mar 05, 2012 2:14 pm

maverick wrote:I too do not think it will even reach normal levels, but look back at 2006, it could happen.

Sure it could...but the word "miracle" in the phrase "March Miracle" kind of suggests how unlikely it is.

(And hey, I'm selfish too. Looking forward to a good Memorial Day trip this year...)
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Re: Amazing Difference in Snow Pack

Postby RoguePhotonic » Mon Mar 05, 2012 6:01 pm

It just makes me more hopeful about leaving June 1st although I may be getting laid off from work soon so looks like money will be the deciding factor.
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Re: Amazing Difference in Snow Pack

Postby cmon4day » Mon Mar 05, 2012 7:51 pm

TehipiteTom wrote:
maverick wrote:Yes it's low, but March & April storms can make up for the last few months really quick.

Can, but probably won't. We're 5 days into March already, and the 5-day forecast is for maybe a dinky storm the next couple days and then clear the rest of the week. At this point, the odds of a 'normal' (or above-normal) snowpack are virtually nill.


"I agree with TT. Though march april storm can dramatically add snow depth the water content of the snowpack is very unlikely to come close to normal. I'm looking at late May trip to mid 9,000."

"I too do not think it will even reach normal levels, but look back at 2006, it could happen.
Would really like to be able to get out early this year, hit the higher elevations
by early July (maybe earlier), and yes, it makes me selfish, but didn't get out much at
all last year so there is a lot to make up for".

"Sure it could...but the word "miracle" in the phrase "March Miracle" kind of suggests how unlikely it is."

With all the negative waves out there no wonder were in a drought. Cool it with the negative waves and everyone think snow :)
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Re: Amazing Difference in Snow Pack

Postby oldranger » Mon Mar 05, 2012 8:16 pm

Common4day

Last year I kept thinking it would stop snowing and get closer to normal and my thoughts had absolutly no impact on what happened. How could my limited brain capacity have any impact on the weather. :retard:

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