Early Season HST 2020.

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BaneSierras
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Re: Early Season HST 2020.

Post by BaneSierras »

Wandering Daisy wrote: Thu Mar 05, 2020 8:51 am The DWR data is specifically designed for water resource assessment; still very useful for backpackers but for us, the bottom line is the amount of snow on the ground June 1, regardless of the amount April 1 (which is used to determine the official "snowpack"). The NWS 6-month predictions are for a hotter than average spring and early summer, which would melt the snow faster, so what is left on the ground June 1 could be less than 2012 in spite of more overall snow. Also, the DWR data sites are concentrated in the lower and mid-elevation Sierra so not as helpful for conditions above 11,000 feet.

OMG, it is 80 degrees places in California today! And it is only the first week in March! The odd late snows that fall in late May and early June in the high Sierra, impact for a few days, but melt off quickly so would impact a June 1 HST only if you happened to be out those few days. At any rate all these long range predictions are only probabilities. We have to wait and see. Unfortunately the current system makes "wait and see" a permit issue.
Excellent info. Yeah, definitely playing the wait and see game. We have backup plans but I'm a data consumer so it's fun to consider probabilities and be armed with as much info as possible. Thank you so much for the reply.

We applied for permits for HST. Time will tell...
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